Tony Martin-Vegue
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Five Movie Scenes That Teach You Something About Risk Quantification
What can we learn from the Oakland A’s, a bar of soap, and a wizard?
Jun 16
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
5
2
What the CIA Figured Out About the Word "Probably" in 1964
Everyone on your team reads "probably" and "highly likely" as different numbers, and how you can prove it in twenty minutes
Jun 5
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
6
April 2026
Issue 11: The Complete Guide to Cyber Risk Dashboard Design
Lies, Damn Lies, and the Numbers That "Feel Right"
Apr 1
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
18
2
March 2026
Issue 10: How to Read a Loss Exceedance Curve
How to read, present, and anchor the chart that makes risk quantification click
Mar 16
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
11
2
February 2026
Issue 9: Accuracy, Precision and the Obscured Target
Why Measurement Quality Matters
Feb 23
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
5
1
January 2026
Issue 8: Why "Risk-Based Security" Remains Elusive
Lessons from a week on Reddit: why the field still confuses compliance with risk
Jan 15
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
13
4
2
December 2025
Issue 7: The Risk Workshop Survival Guide
How to keep risk workshops from drifting into philosophy, edge cases, and noise
Dec 12, 2025
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
11
2
November 2025
Issue 6: Preorders Are Live! Plus, Thanksgiving Meal KRIs and KPIs
Book updates, pre-order links, and a metrics-driven Thanksgiving
Nov 26, 2025
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
10
3
October 2025
Issue 5: What You Can't See Can Still Hurt You
How to quantify zero-event risks, emerging threats, and the unimaginable
Oct 28, 2025
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
17
1
2
September 2025
Issue 4: Beyond the Hammer
Smarter ways to frame risk, and the skills analysts need in the age of AI
Sep 16, 2025
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
17
Issue 3: From "We Can't Measure This" to "Good Enough to Decide"
Estimating the Real Risk of Getting Your Phone Hacked at DEF CON
Sep 2, 2025
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
18
1
2
August 2025
Issue 2 | Assessment Scope, “What Abouts,” and Seeing Risk Beyond Your Own History
How to protect your risk assessment scope, avoid the gambler’s fallacy, and keep decisions on track
Aug 10, 2025
•
Tony Martin-Vegue
16
6
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